Nigeria’s Banks Attract $7 Billion in ‘Hot Money’ as Foreign Inflows Surge — Experts Warn of Economic Risks

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In 2024, Nigeria’s banking sector saw an unprecedented influx of $7 billion from foreign investors, marking the highest capital inflow in five years. However, experts caution that most of this is “hot money” — short-term funds chasing quick profits rather than long-term economic growth. This influx has raised concerns about the sustainability and stability of Nigeria’s economy, given the volatile nature of such investments.

“Hot money” typically flows into financial instruments like OMO and Treasury bills, which offer high returns but are easily withdrawn when market conditions change. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, over 90% of foreign inflows into Nigeria’s banks in 2024 were short-term, speculative investments. This influx dramatically increased the banking sector’s share of total capital inflows from 21.3% in 2023 to nearly 57% in 2024.

The momentum continued into 2025, with foreign inflows hitting $3.13 billion in the first quarter alone — the second consecutive quarter surpassing $3 billion. Despite these large numbers, about 75% of the $5.64 billion capital imported in early 2025 went into short-term securities rather than long-term development projects, exposing the economy to potential volatility.

Economists warn that this pattern leaves Nigeria vulnerable to sudden capital flight, especially if interest rates drop or global financial conditions shift. Although the Central Bank of Nigeria’s policies, including bank recapitalization and higher interest rates, helped attract this capital, experts emphasize the need for caution and call for efforts to convert these gains into sustainable investments.

The key challenge remains transforming the surge in short-term capital inflows into lasting economic growth that creates jobs and strengthens Nigeria’s financial system. Otherwise, analysts fear the economy may be “building on sand,” risking instability when hot money exits abruptly.

Source: The sun

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