Asian Shares Hit New Peaks, Oil Up On Middle East Tensions

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Asian shares advanced to record highs on Monday as successful coronavirus vaccine rollouts globally raise hopes of a rapid economic recovery amid new fiscal aid from Washington, while oil prices rose on heightened tensions in the Middle East.

The signals for Europe and the United States were positive too, with futures for eurostoxx 50 up 0.5%, those for Germany’s DAX rising 0.7% and London’s FTSE futures climbing 0.8%.

E-mini futures for the S&P 500 were up 0.5%, though U.S. stock markets will be closed on Monday for the Presidents Day holiday.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan jumped 0.6% to 738.23, with all major indexes in the green.

Japan’s Nikkei climbed 1.9%, reclaiming the 30,000 point level for the first time in over three decades despite data showing the country’s recovery from its worst postwar recession slowed in the fourth quarter.

China and Hong Kong markets are shut for the Lunar New Year holiday.

The highlight of the week will probably be minutes of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s January meeting, where policymakers decided to leave rates unchanged.

Data on inflation is due from the UK, Canada and Japan, while Friday will see major economies including the United States release the preliminary February purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI).

While economists expect inflation to stay benign for some while yet, the so-called “reflation trade” has gathered steam in recent days largely led by coronavirus vaccines and hopes of massive fiscal spending under U.S. President Joe Biden.

Biden pushed for the first major legislative achievement of his term, turning to a bipartisan group of local officials for help on his $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief plan.

“Credit spreads have tightened sharply already, but they still have room to absorb some higher yields, making us more comfortable with credit risk than interest rate risk,” Dwek added.

“Commodities would be beneficiaries of an inflationary cycle, but they can still continue to recover without high core inflation as economies reopen and demand picks up.”

Oil prices climbed to the highest since January 2020 on hopes U.S. stimulus will boost the economy and fuel demand.

Prices were also buoyant after a Saudi-led coalition fighting in Yemen said it intercepted an explosive-laden drone fired by the Iran-aligned Houthi group, raising fears of fresh Middle East tensions.


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