UK grocery inflation hit 9.9% in the four weeks to July 10, adding 454 pounds ($543.7) to Britons’ annual bills amid a worsening cost of living crisis, industry data showed on Tuesday.
Market researcher Kantar said the inflation rate was the second highest it has seen since it started tracking supermarket prices in this way in 2008.
“We’re likely to surpass the previous high come August,” warned Fraser McKevitt, Kantar’s head of retail and consumer insight.
The researcher said prices are rising fastest in markets such as dog food, butter and milk.
Food inflation could reach 15% this summer and 20% early next year according to some forecasts.
Kantar said sales on a value basis rose 0.1% at market leader Tesco (TSCO.L) over the 12 weeks to July 10, but fell at Sainsbury’s (SBRY.L), Asda and Morrisons as shoppers switched to German-owned discounters Aldi and Lidl.
Lidl was Britain’s fastest growing grocer over the 12 weeks with sales up 13.9%, while Aldi’s were up 11.3%.
Both hit record market shares, with Lidl at 7.0% and Aldi at 9.1% – just 0.3% below Morrisons, Britain’s No. 4 grocer.
Facing the toughest economic conditions in decades, Britain’s food retailers are monitoring each others’ prices more than ever before.
It said total UK supermarket sales rose 0.1% over the 12-week period – the first time the market has registered growth since April 2021.
UK grocers’ market share and sales growth (%)
Market share 12 wks to July 10 2022
Market share 12 wks to July 11 2021
% change in sales (yr-on-yr)
Tesco
27.1
27.1
0.1
Sainsbury’s
14.9
15.2
-2.2
Asda
13.7
14.0
-2.3
Morrisons
9.4
10.1
-6.7
Aldi
9.1
8.2
11.3
Lidl
7.0
6.1
13.9
Co-operative
6.3
6.5
-2.0
Waitrose
4.6
5.0
-6.3
Iceland
2.3
2.3
-0.2
Ocado
1.8
1.8
0.7
Source: Kantar
-Reuters.
