Bloomberg: Nigerian Government Aims to Bring Dollar Rate Down to N750 by December

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The Nigerian government, through the Chair of the Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms, Taiwo Oyedele, is targeting a reduction in the dollar rate at the I&E (Investors’ and Exporters’) Window to N750 per dollar by December. This initiative involves implementing new foreign exchange rules, cracking down on illegal currency trading, and addressing the significant gap between the official and black-market exchange rates.

Key Points:

  1. Objectives of the Initiative:
    • Introducing New FX Rules: The government plans to implement new foreign exchange rules to regulate and stabilize the currency market.
    • Clearing Dollar Demand Backlogs: Efforts will be made to address the backlog of dollar demand, which is estimated to be around $6.7 billion.
    • Bolstering the Naira Forward Market: Measures will be taken to strengthen the naira forward market, contributing to a more stable exchange rate.
  2. Expanding the Official Market:
    • The government aims to broaden the official market to encompass all legitimate transactions, providing a regulated and transparent platform for currency exchange.
    • Combating the Illicit “Black Market”: Steps will be taken to curtail illegal currency trading activities in the black market.
  3. Anticipated Timeline for Implementation:
    • The government expects these measures to take effect within a matter of weeks, with visible results anticipated before the end of the calendar year.
    • The ultimate goal is for the naira to achieve its true value, aligning with official market rates rather than the higher rates observed in the parallel market.
  4. Fair Price for the Dollar:
    • Taiwo Oyedele suggests that a “fair price” for the dollar lies within the range of 650 to 750 naira, which translates to approximately N802.59 to the dollar. This stands in contrast to the black-market rate of N1,165.

Conclusion: The Nigerian government’s initiative to bring down the dollar rate at the I&E Window to N750 by December reflects a concerted effort to stabilize the currency market and reduce the gap between official and black-market exchange rates. By introducing new FX rules, addressing demand backlogs, and expanding the official market, the government aims to achieve a more balanced and transparent currency exchange environment. This initiative holds the potential to positively impact Nigeria’s economic stability and investment climate.

Bloomberg

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