Naira Plummets to ₦1,290/$1, Sparks Concerns

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The Nigerian Naira has experienced a sharp decline, reaching ₦1,290 to $1 in key markets, including Abuja. This significant drop is raising concerns about the currency’s stability and the broader economic implications.

Key Points:

  1. Exchange Rate Decline:
    • As of 5 pm, a dollar was bought for ₦1,250 and sold for ₦1,290 in Zone Four, Abuja, known for exchange rate fluctuations.
  2. Factors Driving the Decline:
    • The decline in the value of the Naira is attributed to scarcity, a key factor influencing exchange rates. The situation is fundamentally driven by demand and supply dynamics.
  3. Optimism Amidst Challenges:
    • Some Bureau de Change operators remain hopeful about potential improvements in market efficiency and availability. They anticipate a collaborative effort between fiscal and monetary authorities to address the situation.
  4. Cooperation Between Fiscal and Monetary Authorities:
    • Operators highlight a positive shift in cooperation between fiscal and monetary authorities. They believe that the long-standing working relationships among these officials, coupled with their experience, may lead to more effective measures.
  5. Official Exchange Rate (NAFEM):
    • The official exchange rate on the Nigerian Autonomous Foreign Exchange Market (NAFEM) stood at ₦847 to the dollar. This represents a 6.93 percent decline from ₦793 on the previous day.
  6. Historical Perspective:
    • This drop to ₦847 is the second-lowest level the Naira has reached recently, following a brief slip to ₦848 earlier in the month.
  7. FX Turnover:
    • FX turnover on NAFEM recorded $88 million, accounting for eight percent of the previous day’s turnover. This indicates a decrease in trading activity.

Conclusion: The sharp decline of the Naira against the US dollar raises concerns about the stability of Nigeria’s currency. The scarcity-driven exchange rate dynamics highlight the critical role of demand and supply in determining exchange rates. While there is hope for improved collaboration between fiscal and monetary authorities, there is a need for comprehensive strategies to address the underlying challenges and stabilize the currency. The situation will be closely monitored by market participants and analysts for further developments.

Theguardian

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